Stetson
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 75.5433Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 4-14 218 H South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 4-25 225 H Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 8-24 228 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 6-19 304 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 7-22 308 A UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 14-16 313 A Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 4-21 315 A Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 3-18 321 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 12-11 326 A Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 12-11 328 A Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 6-16 404 H Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 9-11 411 A Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 14-16 416 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 10-11 418 H Austin Peay Atlantic Su ( 4-13, 71.2) 17-13 422 H Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 6-20
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Florida State 4-14 -10 -9 -1.42
218 H South Florida 4-25 -21 -12 - -2.21
225 H Florida 8-24 -16 -17 0.00
228 H Boston University 6-19 -13 -8 -- -5.37
304 H Mercer 7-22 -15 -9 -- -5.43
308 A UNC-Charlotte 14-16 -2 -5 + 2.70
313 A Denver 4-21 -17 -20 0.00
315 A Colorado 3-18 -15 -20 0.00
321 H Coastal Carolina 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.23
326 A Liberty 12-11 1 -8 +++ 8.50
328 A Delaware 6-16 -10 -13 + 3.34
404 H Queens 9-11 -2 0 - -2.18
411 A Lindenwood 14-16 -2 -3 0.95
416 A Kennesaw State 10-11 -1 0 -0.56
418 H Austin Peay 17-13 4 6 -1.68
422 H Jacksonville 6-20 -14 -12 -1.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Boston University 6-19 -13 -8 -- -5.37 304 H Mercer 7-22 -15 -9 -- -5.43 218 H South Florida 4-25 -21 -12 - -2.21 404 H Queens 9-11 -2 0 - -2.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Liberty 12-11 1 -8 +++ 8.50 321 H Coastal Carolina 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.23 308 A UNC-Charlotte 14-16 -2 -5 + 2.70 328 A Delaware 6-16 -10 -13 + 3.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 4-14 -17.14 23.02 1.37 1.08 -8.54
3 H South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 4-25 -11.20 28.97 -1.37 1.08 -6.80
3 H Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 8-24 -6.48 33.69 -1.37 1.08 -4.25
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 6-19 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 1.08 -9.05
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 7-22 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 1.08 -8.55
3 A UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 14-16 -21.02 19.15 1.37 1.08 -10.64
3 A Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 4-21 -6.12 34.05 1.37 1.08 -2.57
3 A Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 3-18 -5.99 34.18 1.37 1.08 -2.50
3 H Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 12-11 -18.76 21.41 -1.37 1.08 43.40
3 A Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 12-11 -18.22 21.95 1.37 1.08 50.48
3 A Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 6-16 -12.38 27.78 1.37 1.08 -5.96
3 H Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 9-11 -23.17 17.00 -1.37 1.08 -13.28
3 A Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 14-16 -22.77 17.40 1.37 1.08 -11.59
3 A Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 10-11 -25.29 14.88 1.37 1.08 -12.95
3 H Austin Peay ( 4-13, 71.2) 17-13 -28.67 11.49 -1.37 1.08 21.93
3 H Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 6-20 -10.86 29.30 -1.37 1.08 -6.62
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12.50
|
winning pts = 115.8141 losing points = -103.3110
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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